Showing posts with label counter-terrorism. Show all posts
Showing posts with label counter-terrorism. Show all posts

Friday, May 18, 2012

Multi-Layered Counterterror Defenses Generally Work Well, Former NCTC Director Argues

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HSToday.us; US/1; ATTN:
 
Partners in Pre-ANTI-CRIMEBy: Mickey McCarter
05/17/2012 ( 8:30am)

Multi-layered counterterrorism defenses have safeguarded Americans more than generally acknowledged, particularly as they have deterred individual terrorists from carrying out catastrophic attacks on US soil, argued the former director of the National Counterterrorism Center (NCTC) Wednesday.

Speaking at the Counter Terror Expo in Washington, DC, Michael Leiter emphasized, "There is no silver bullet to counterterrorism," but insisted that US defenses nonetheless have been largely successful.

"What has in fact worked over and over again, not perfectly but well, is a multi-layered approach to counterterrorism and homeland security," Leiter stated.

Leiter cited the case of Najibullah Zazi, who purchased hydrogen peroxide for making a bomb in Denver, Colo., and drove to New York City with it before his arrest in September 2009.

US authorities relied upon foreign intelligence to track Zazi, who had been trained by Al Qaeda in Pakistan to carry out a terror plot. Federal intelligence agencies shared information with state and local authorities, and he was arrested in coordination with the New York Police Department, Leiter said.

In another case, multi-layered defenses worked well against Faisal Shahzad, the would-be Times Square bomber who attempted to detonate a fertilizer bomb in an SUV in May 2010.

The media portrayed Shahzad's attempt to detonate his bomb as an intelligence failure but US defenses ultimately frustrated Shahzad's plot to blow up Times Square, Leiter insisted.

Reading the headlines, people may ask, "How can we let this happen? How could the intelligence system not detect this guy who had gone back and forth from Pakistan and is now in the middle of Times Square? And the only thing that saved us was a hot dog vendor?" Leiter queried.

But the former counterterrorism director viewed the narrative differently.

First, public awareness is an important part of the multi-layered approach to defeating terrorism, he said. So an important element of defense is the identification of suspicious activity by members of the public, as envisioned by the "If You See Something, Say Something" campaign adopted by the Department of Homeland Security (DHS). Public awareness campaigns have worked well in other nations that have faced more persistent homegrown terrorist threats like Israel and the United Kingdom.

Although Shahzad did indeed travel to Pakistan for training on how to make a bomb, he limited those trips and thus limited his effectiveness because he was afraid of being discovered, Leiter said.

"He was worried that if he spent too much time in Pakistan then when he came back to the United States, he might be subject to additional screening and might become a suspect for the FBI or DHS to investigate," Leiter declared.

As Shahzad was discouraged from fully participating in terrorist training, one layer of US counterterrorism defenses worked, he argued.

Another layer also blocked Shahzad from being fully successful.

When he went to purchase fertilizer for his bomb, he bought fertilizer without nitrogen -- a lower grade of fertilizer that was not going to create the large explosion that he sought to create.

Shahzad purchased the lower grade fertilizer because he was aware of a tripwire system whereby people selling potentially dangerous bomb ingredients, such as the high-grade fertilizer, know to call local authorities of the FBI when they see suspicious purchases, Leiter said.

"So did the intelligence system find him among all of the noise beforehand? No. Did the intelligence or national security or homeland security system make it less likely that he was going to cause a catastrophic terrorist attack within the United States? Absolutely," he stated.

As such, the multi-layered defense system worked because it reduced the likelihood of a catastrophic terrorist attack, Leiter said.

He stressed that defenses could not stop every terrorist attack in the world, but US defenses still reduce the likelihood of catastrophic attacks and thus have generally been successful.

Follow me on Twitter at www.twitter.com/mickeymccarter


[Information contained in BKNT E-mail is considered Attorney-Client and Attorney Work Product privileged, copyrighted and confidential. Views that may be expressed are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect those of any government, agency, or news organization.]
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Saturday, May 12, 2012

COUNTER TERROR EXPO US, May 16-17 - Time is running out...

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US/1





Counter Terror Expo US
Join your colleagues at Counter Terror Expo US next Wednesday 
With sessions designed to provide you with the tools to detect, stop, or respond efficiently to a terror attack, Counter Terror  Expo is a must attend for government and homeland security professionals.
Learn from the Leaders.

Start each day with an expert view of where the counter terror and homeland security industry is. 
Michael E. Leiter, Former Director, National Counterterrorism Center (NCTC) (Keynote)
Thad Allen, Former US Coast Guard Commandant (Keynote)
Session speakers include leaders from government, industry and the media, to ensure the absolute most relevant session content and information.  Attendees will discover the latest methods, technology, and intelligence you need to detect, prevent, and respond to any potential threats to our citizens and our cities. As a security professional, you’ll get relevant and very useful information from the conference education sessions, be able to collaborate with colleagues from around the country, and see what’s working right now in their towns.
The following is a sampling of session topics geared to help you combat terrorists and respond to emergencies in your jurisdiction:

• Counterterrorism, Homeland Security and Budgets in the Next Administration
• Risk Management Process and Methodology
• Secure Information and Intelligence Sharing
• “Hacktevism” and International Challenges
• Patrolling the Border: The New National Strategy
• Aviation and Airport Security
• Impact of Interdependent Infrastructure, Capabilities, and Resources


Join the Discussion. Get Involved. Register today!
Click here to register, or visit our website www.counterterrorexpo.us for details on all the education sessions
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Friday, August 19, 2011

Anthony Kimery: 'LoneWolf' Terrorists Pose Growing Threat

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'Lone Wolf' Terrorists, Extremists Pose Growing Homeland Threat, Administration Believes
 
By: Anthony Kimery
08/18/2011 ( 9:22am)

This past week, the Obama administration launched a full court press to alert citizens, law enforcement and other federal, state and local authorities to be on the lookout for activities that could be indicative of potential terrorist plotting and extremist behavior.

Tuesday, President Barack Obama said in an interview with CNN that a "lone wolf" terror attack in the United States is much more likely today than a coordinated attack like the attack on Sept. 11, 2001.

Conceding that the federal government is in a state of heightened awareness in the run-up to the tenth anniversary of the 9/11 attack, Obama said “the biggest concern we have right now is not the launching of a major terrorist operation, although that risk is always there.”

Obama said “the risk that we're especially concerned [about] right now is the lone wolf terrorist, somebody with a single weapon being able to carry out wide-scale massacres of the sort that we saw in Norway recently. You know, when you've got one person who is deranged or driven by a hateful ideology, they can do a lot of damage, and it's a lot harder to trace those lone wolf operators."

These so-called lone wolves can be both Islamist jihadists or homegrown extremists like the Tampa, Florida student arrested this week on charges of plotting what officials said was potentially “catastrophic” bombing at his high school.

Echoing Obama, Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Secretary Janet Napolitano said Wednesday that “lone wolf" terror attacks are increasing and "much more difficult to intercept" than 9/11 magnitude plots.

In a speech at a Chamber of Commerce event, Napolitano said the US has a "layered system of security that would give us multiple ways to deter" an attack like the one on 9/11.

"What we see now is smaller plots," Napolitano stressed, adding, “we are also seeing a rise of activities by individuals who are actually in the country, and they are acting by themselves and that kind of attack is the most difficult to prevent because there is nothing to intercept."

Rep. Peter King (R-NY), chairman of the House Committee on Homeland Security, told WCBS 880 that when you have no “chatter” indicating a large plot, “then you [have to start looking for things like]  weapons sales. You look for, for instance, purchase of explosives. So, you try to track that down [to] see any type of unusual activity.”

Napolitano and the President’s comments coincided with DHS’ launch of public service announcements about the department’s “See Something, Say Something” initiative, and the “For Official Use Only” (FOUO) Joint Intelligence Bulletin on lone wolves issued Tuesday by the FBI Counterterrorism Analysis Section and DHS’ Intelligence & Analysis Production Branch.

Obtained by Homeland Security Today, this new intelligence bulletin, Use of Small Arms: Examining Lone Shooters and Small-Unit Tactics, updated a September 3, 2010 DHS-FBI joint analytic product of the same title that “is intended to provide warning and perspective regarding the scope of the potential terrorist threats to the United States, specifically towards US persons,” the bulletin stated.

The alert is intended “to support the activities of DHS and FBI and to help federal, state and local government counterterrorism and law enforcement officials deter, prevent, preempt or respond to terrorist attacks directed against the United States,” it stated.

The “Key Findings” of the bulletin are:

  • “The current evolving and diversified homeland threat environment and recent incidents involving small-arms operations in the United States and abroad demonstrate the need for continued vigilance and awareness. Small-arms operations could be employed through a range of tactics from a lone offender - as illustrated by the recent 22 July 2011 lone shooter attack that took place in Norway - to a coordinated small-unit attack involving several operatives;” and
  •  
  • “We continue to assess that the scale and complexity of any attack of this type is dependent on a variety of factors, to include the sophistication and training of the attackers, the parameters of their targets, and the local security environment.”

Continuing, the alert warned that “recent lone offender attacks and plots in the United States and abroad illustrate the effectiveness of the small-arms tactic and the need for continued vigilance and awareness of this tactic. Attacks by lone offenders - which by definition lack  co-conspirators, and therefore provide fewer opportunities for detection - may be more difficult for law enforcement and homeland security authorities to disrupt.”

Additionally, the bulletin warned, “incidents involving lone gunmen in the United States and abroad demonstrate the potential danger, lethality, and effectiveness of an unrehearsed small-arms attack by a single individual with little or no training, and underscore the potentially higher consequences of an assault-style attack involving multiple operatives.”

The bulletin stressed that “terrorist and violent insurgent groups overseas - in many cases operating in nations battling violent civil unrest - have long favored small-unit assault tactics, in which small teams of operatives storm a target using small arms to defeat security. The frequency of these attacks is likely attributable to perceptions of their effectiveness, the prevalence of small-arms instruction at terrorist and militant training camps, and the widespread availability of assault weapons …”

Regarding the homeland threat posed by small-unit tactics, the joint DHS-FBI bulletin issued Tuesday stated that, “given recent events demonstrating the success of small-arms tactics and the evolving, diversified threat faced by the United States from Al Qaeda and those inspired by its ideology, we assess that transnational terrorist groups and homegrown violent extremists (HVEs) could employ small-unit assault tactics in the United States.”

And “although we have no information indicating transnational terrorists have attempted to execute a small-unit assault operation in the homeland,” the bulletin stated, “we note that disrupted HVE plots … planned to employ small arms-based assault tactics.”

The bulletin noted that because of terrorists’ failure to successfully pull-off homeland attacks using improved explosive devices, or IEDs, small-unit assault tactics “may increase [their] attractiveness.”

“While terrorist organizations almost certainly will continue to attempt future homeland attacks using IEDs, it is also possible that operational planners will incorporate small-arms attacks that do not require mastery of IED construction or risk the failure of a complex bomb design,” the FBI and DHS warned.

The intelligence bulletin emphasized the importance of suspicious activity reporting, which is the cornerstone of DHS’ aggressive promotion of its “See Something, Say Something” public awareness campaign.

“We face an increased challenge in detecting terrorist plots underway by individuals or small groups acting independently or with only tenuous ties to foreign handlers,” the DHS-FBI bulletin said, noting that “recent events have illustrated that state, local, tribal and private sector partners play a critical role in identifying suspicious activities - such as unusual purchases of or inquiries about firearms, gunpowder, or ammunition - and raising the awareness of federal counterterrorism officials.”

Similarly, DHS is funding the Information Collection on Patrol (InCOP) training program to enhance the capacity of the line police officer to be able to identify and report suspicious or criminal behavior. InCOP has been adopted by major police departments across the nation.

The training is provided by the Oklahoma City-based Memorial Institute for the Prevention of Terrorism (MIPT), whose executive director, David Cid, is a retired career FBI official.


[Information contained in BKNT E-mail is considered Attorney-Client and Attorney Work Product privileged, copyrighted and confidential. Views that may be expressed are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect those of any government, agency, or news organization.]

Tuesday, July 19, 2011

Anthony Kimery : CT Officials Fear Dour Economy Invites Attack

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US/1  - Member Contribution



By: Anthony Kimery
07/14/2011 ( 8:33am)

As America’s economic stagnation continues largely unchanged in the face of a looming federal government debt crisis, federal counterterrorism intelligence officials and other authorities told Homeland Security Today the nation’s security increasingly is being put at risk, making the US at this moment in time a target for a major attack.

“Under Osama Bin Laden, Al Qaeda’s goal had been to find a way to attack us in a way that would hurt us economically – and I mean really hurt us. So if Al Qaeda still wants to slam us economically, now is the time to do it,” said one of the US counterterrorism officials who has studied the terrorist network’s capabilities to cause America grievous economic damage.

This and other officials said on background because of the sensitivity of their positions that the time has never been better for Al Qaeda “or any of its capable franchises” to attack in a way that would directly or indirectly result in not only a potentially debilitating economic blow to the country, but an economic collapse of some sort that would ripple around the world, especially in Europe,” another said.

Indeed. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke just told Congress that “the [US] Treasury security is viewed as the safest and most liquid security in the world, and the notion it would become suddenly unreliable and illiquid would throw shockwaves through the entire global financial system.”

He added that the largest credit ratings agencies might even downgrade America's credit rating even if the US does not default and Congress agrees to raise the debt level in order to continue servicing its loans.

Coinciding with Bernanke’s warning, Moody's Investors Service credit rating agency announced that it is reviewing the US’s financial malaise and related problems as part of a possible downgrading of its current AAA credit rating on US credit worthiness.

Moody's said it saw a "rising possibility that the statutory debt limit will not be raised on a timely basis, leading to a default on US Treasury debt obligations.”

Moody's is the first of the big three credit rating agencies to review America’s triple-A rating.

A reduced US credit rating by any of the big three credit rating companies could provoke possible mayhem in financial markets around the planet and vastly escalate borrowing costs for the federal government and businesses, which would have a directly negative impact on public finances and further depress the nation’s overall economy.

“So you can understand why Al Qaeda, or any other terrorist organization motivated by the jihadist ideology, would see that America is highly vulnerable right now – perhaps more than it’s ever been - to an attack or attacks the impact or direct effect [of which] would be further depression of the US’s economy,” one of the counterterrorism officials said.

The other officials interviewed agreed. One explained: “Al Qaeda probably has never had a better point in time for attacking us in a way that would hit us hard economically.”

“And what’s scary is that that it can be any kind of attack," the official continued. "Certainly a catastrophic, mass casualty attack would have a dramatic impact on the economy, but so, too, would a coordinated small cell attack with automatic weapons at major amusement parks across the country.”

“Can you imagine what would happen if Disney’s amusement parks in Florida were attacked?” asked Laura Hains, a ranking Customs and Border Protection officer when she retired in 2008. “Florida’s economy would collapse.”

An authority in seaport security specializing in port security/intelligence, cargo, commercial vessel, container and cruise ship security who designed, implemented and supervised two port intelligence units, Hains added that California – which also has an important amusement park industry – would also suffer economically if terrorists were to attack theme parks there, too.

But it’s not just amusement parks, Hains said. She stressed that attacks at just one or two major US ports not only would close these ports, but many other US ports potentially would be closed as authorities worked to determine if they were subject to attack.

“Closing just one port would have a devastating impact on the nation’s economy,” Hains said, noting that the recovery could be long and painful depending on how long the port or ports were closed. And some ports could be closed for quite some time if they were substantively destroyed by a powerful explosive, like a liquefied natural gas, or LNG, container ship in port.


[Information contained in BKNT E-mail is considered Attorney-Client and Attorney Work Product privileged, copyrighted and confidential. Views that may be expressed are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect those of any government, agency, or news organization.]

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